The MDGs emerged at a time of relative stability, prosperity and coherence. Western economies were on the rise, the G7 was a dominant force in international diplomacy, and consensus on development issues had been building throughout the 1990s. The conditions were relatively good for forging agreement on global targets for development.
Today, in contrast, the financial crisis has rocked faith in long-established economic thinking, international power has become more diffuse and multi-polar, and climate change promises difficult times ahead. This is a much more challenging, complex and unpredictable context in which to negotiate an international framework after 2015 .
In such circumstances, what can we expect?
CAFOD have just released a short briefing paper, mapping out five scenarios for a post-2015 framework. The scenarios describe different possibilities for how a framework could emerge, together with some brief analysis of the risks and opportunities involved.
Read the full paper here.
Read the French version here.
Read the Spanish version here.